Situation Report: Baltimore is burning, IEDs and drones in Ukraine, the F-35 gets dinged again.










Situation Report: Baltimore is burning, IEDs and drones in Ukraine, the F-35 gets dinged again, and lots more
 

 
  Foreign Policy  
 
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The National Security Daily Brief from Foreign Policy
 

 
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Tuesday, April 28, 2015
 
 

By Paul McLeary and Ariel Robinson

RED SIREN Up to 5,000 armed Maryland National Guard troops are currently on their way to patrol the streets of Baltimore after a series of rolling street fights between rioters and a disorganized and mostly ineffective Baltimore Police Department. The rioting comes in response to the funeral of Freddie Gray, the African-American man who died in police custody.  

“We are going to be out in massive force, and that basically means that we’re going to be controlling the streets” of Baltimore, Maryland National Guard Adjutant General Linda Singh said at a news conference Monday night, insisting that “this is not martial law.” Her troops will roll into town in uparmored Humvees for their own protection, she said.

It also looks like Maryland officials are preparing to adopt a pretty serious “clear and hold” strategy over the coming days, with Guard troops holding areas where local and state police have already tramped down the violence.

This matters too. On April 29, National Guard and Reserve leadership heads to Capitol Hill to testify about budgets before the House Armed Services Committee. Baltimore will matter. But will the “National Commission on the Future of the Army?”

The congressionally-mandated panel is looking at the ways that Big Army will have to play with the Guard and Reserve in the coming years, in particular the Army’s plan to take away the Guard’s Apache attack helicopters, replacing them with Blackhawk utility birds. The Guard hates the idea, but ask yourself what would be more effective over Baltimore? Apaches, or helos that can evacuate the wounded? No judgments here.

We’re from the U.S. government, and we’re here to help. As SitRep reported last week, about 300 U.S. soldiers from the Italy-based 173rd Airborne Brigade are in Western Ukraine training Ukrainian National Guard troops in a variety of small unit tactics. They’re also conducting some counter-drone and counter-IED classes….which is something that piqued our interest.

Details have been hard to come by but Maj. Mike Weisman, a spokesman for the 173rd emailed SitRep that the instruction was “asked for by the Ukrainian government.” Weisman also said that Ukrainian troops are seeing drones “flown by Russian-backed separatists in East Ukraine. Our training focuses on understanding and operating in this environment, and how to minimize their effectiveness.”

Similarly, Weisman confirms that Ukrainian forces have been getting hit with IEDs, though declined to provide more details about what they look like, how they’re being made, and if they represent more evidence of Russian involvement. “What we're doing terms of counter-IED is basically taking our very real and recent experiences over the past 14 years in Iraq and Afghanistan and helping them in terms of identifying and responding to the threat,” he wrote.

The Situation Report is back for another round. Hope you’re enjoying it. As ever, if you have any concerns, comments, or tips/notices to pass along, give us a shout at paul.mcleary@foreignolicy.com or on Twitter: @paulmcleary.

Break out the red pens and prepare yourselves for a series of “smart takes” on what that State Department is doing wrong, because Secretary of State John Kerry is releasing the 2015 Quadrennial Diplomacy and Development Review (QDDR) report today at 4:00 pm.

Defense Budget

On April 27, the House Armed Services Committee Chairman Mac Thornberry (R-Texas) unveiled his $611 billion version of the 2016 defense spending bill that would obligate a whopping $89.2 billion in supplemental war funding -- $38.3 billion of which would fund programs and activities that normally live in the Pentagon's base budget. (The Defense Department had asked for $51 billion in its request.)

President Obama has said that he will veto any bill that comes from the Hill that tries to work around the budget cuts that Congress itself enacted, but since the numbers in the bill actually, in the end, equals the Defense Department’s original budget request, it’s unclear what might happen next.

Some details:

While the numbers might be there however, the intent sure isn’t. The GOP-penned document moves money all over the place, outlining an agenda very different from the one set forth by the Defense Department in its original request. The document also “challenges the White House because it includes lethal weapons for Ukraine,” while also making it harder for the president to empty the detention facility at Guantanamo Bay, and blocking a round of base closures that the White House and defense leadership wants, Reuters reports.

The Committee also proposed to block the A-10 retirement in their authorization. In fact, the GOP is all about aircraft, this year, providing additional funding for F-18s and F-35Bs and new helicopters for the National Guard. More from John T. Bennett for Defense News here.

Ah, yes. The F-35. The chronically troubled $391 billion program that will eventually produce 2,457 warplanes has been dinged again. The Government Accountability Office reported on April 27 that it found 61 violations of quality management rules in its inspection of engine maker Pratt & Whitney's work. “More than half of the problems were deemed major” the report said, according to Reuters’s Andrea Shalal.  Read the rest for all of the other big-dollar issues involved.

And in other news of ‘things Congress wants that the Pentagon doesn’t,’ Jen Judson and Jeremy Herb set the scene in Politico for what they write may be one of the most partisan issues this budget season: a new ICBM interceptor site on the Eastern Seaboard.

U.S. Navy

Coming in 2016: The U.S. Navy confirmed that two Littoral Combat Ships will be deployed to Singapore in 2016. It plans to operate four of the ships out of Singapore by 2018, reports Ridzwan Rahmat for IHS Jane’s Defence Weekly.

Israel

The Israel Navy’s “cyber warriors” are “engaged in an intensive and rapidly developing technological arms race,” reports Yaakov Lappin for the Jerusalem Post.

Lappin also provides some analysis on Israel’s recent air strikes against the “Axis of Resistance and Deterrence,” and the implications of Hezbollah’s response. A “high-stakes covert war,” could erupt into violence, he writes, although all parties have an interest in avoiding such a situation.

Finland is the latest country to beef up its defense budget in light of Russian aggression, writes Gerard O'Dwyer for Defense News. Don’t get too excited, though -- their current budget is less than half of either Norway’s or Sweden’s annual defense spending.

Syria

The humanitarian situation in Yemen has become catastrophic,” Reuters reports. “Relief officials said on Monday, as Saudi-led aircraft pounded Iran-allied Houthi militiamen and rebel army units for a second day, dashing hopes for a pause in fighting to let aid in.

Finally, “how do you like them apples?” The U.S. Air Force has awarded the Massachusetts Institute of Technology a contract that could be worth $3 billion contract to operate a research and development center in Lexington, Massachusetts.

The lab, which will work on a variety of national security projects is being funded by an initial award of $600,000, “will apply advanced technology to problems of national security,” the service said on April 27. “Research and development activities focus on long-term technology development as well as rapid system prototyping and demonstration” the announcement read.

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Sandhurst's sheikhs: Why do so many Gulf royals receive military training in the UK? A parade outside the building at Sandhurst Continue reading the main story In today's Magazine The death list that names 5,000 victims Is this woman an apostate? Voices from a WW1 prison camp The Swiss selfie scandal Generations of foreign royals - particularly from the Middle East - have learned to be military leaders at the UK's Sandhurst officer training academy. But is that still a good idea, asks Matthew Teller. Since 1812, the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst, on the Surrey/Berkshire border, has been where the British Army trains its officers. It has a gruelling 44-week course testing the physical and intellectual skills of officer cadets and imbuing them with the values of the British Army. Alongside would-be British officers, Sandhurst has a tradition of drawing cadets from overseas. Many of the elite families of the Middle East have sent their sons and daughters. Perhaps the most notable was King Hussein of Jordan. Continue reading the main story Find out more Matthew Teller presents Sandhurst and the Sheikhs, a Whistledown production for BBC Radio 4, on Wednesday 27 August 2014 at 11:00 BST It will be available on iPlayer shortly after broadcast Four reigning Arab monarchs are graduates of Sandhurst and its affiliated colleges - King Abdullah of Jordan, King Hamad of Bahrain, Sheikh Tamim, Emir of Qatar, and Sultan Qaboos of Oman. Past monarchs include Sheikh Saad, Emir of Kuwait, and Sheikh Hamad, Emir of Qatar. Sandhurst's links have continued from the time when Britain was the major colonial power in the Gulf. "One thing the British were excellent at was consolidating their rule through spectacle," says Habiba Hamid, former foreign policy strategist to the rulers of Dubai and Abu Dhabi. "Pomp, ceremony, displays of military might, shock and awe - they all originate from the British military relationship." Sheikh Hamad Bin Isa Al Khalifa, King Abdullah, Sultan Qaboos Sandhurst alumni: King Hamad of Bahrain, King Abdullah of Jordan and Sultan Qaboos of Oman It's a place where future leaders get to know each other, says Michael Stephens, deputy director of the Royal United Services Institute, Qatar. And Sandhurst gives the UK influence in the Gulf. "The [UK] gets the kind of attention from Gulf policy elites that countries of our size, like France and others, don't get. It gives us the ability to punch above our weight. "You have people who've spent time in Britain, they have… connections to their mates, their teachers. Familiarity in politics is very beneficial in the Gulf context." "For British people who are drifting around the world, as I did as a soldier," says Brigadier Peter Sincock, former defence attache to Saudi Arabia, "you find people who were at Sandhurst and you have an immediate rapport. I think that's very helpful, for example, in the field of military sales." The Emir of Dubai Mohammad bin Rashid Al Maktoum with his son after his Passing Out Parade at Sandhurst in 2006 Sheikh Mohammad bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Emir of Dubai, with his son in uniform at Sandhurst in 2006 Her Majesty The Queen's Representative His Highness Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al-Thani, The Emir of Qatar inspects soldiers during the 144th Sovereign's Parade held at The Royal Military Academy Sandhurst on April 8, 2004 in Camberley, England. Some 470 Officer cadets took part of which 219 were commissioned into the British Army Hamad bin Khalifa Al-Thani, the Emir of Qatar until 2013, inspects soldiers at Sandhurst in 2004 Emotion doesn't always deliver. In 2013, despite the personal intervention of David Cameron, the UAE decided against buying the UK's Typhoon fighter jets. But elsewhere fellow feeling is paying dividends. "The Gulf monarchies have become important sources of capital," says Jane Kinninmont, deputy head of the Middle East/North Africa programme at the foreign affairs think tank Chatham House. "So you see the tallest building in London being financed by the Qataris, you see UK infrastructure and oilfield development being financed by the UAE. There's a desire - it can even seem like a desperation - to keep them onside for trade reasons." British policy in the Gulf is primarily "mercantile", says Dr Kristian Coates Ulrichsen, of the Baker Institute in Houston, Texas. Concerns over human rights and reform are secondary. The Shard at dusk The Shard was funded by Qatari investors In 2012 Sandhurst accepted a £15m donation from the UAE for a new accommodation block, named the Zayed Building after that country's founding ruler. In March 2013, Sandhurst's Mons Hall - a sports centre - was reopened as the King Hamad Hall, following a £3m donation from the monarch of Bahrain, who was educated at one of Sandhurst's affiliated colleges. The renaming proved controversial, partly because of the perceived slight towards the 1,600 British casualties at the Battle of Mons in August 1914 - and partly because of how Hamad and his government have dealt with political protest in Bahrain over the last three years. A critic might note that the third term of Sandhurst's Officer Commissioning Course covers counter-insurgency techniques and ways to manage public disorder. Since tension between Bahrain's majority Shia population and minority Sunni ruling elite boiled over in 2011, more than 80 civilians have died at the hands of the security forces, according to opposition estimates, though the government disputes the figures. Thirteen police officers have also lost their lives in the clashes. "The king has always felt that Sandhurst was a great place," says Sincock, chairman of the Bahrain Society, which promotes friendship between the UK and Bahrain. "Something like 20 of his immediate family have been there as cadets. He didn't really understand why there was such an outcry." David Cameron and King Hamad David Cameron meeting King Hamad in 2012... A protester is held back by police ... while protesters nearby opposed the Bahrain ruler's human rights record Crispin Black, a Sandhurst graduate and former instructor, says the academy should not have taken the money. "Everywhere you look there's a memorial to something, a building or a plaque that serves as a touchstone that takes you right to the heart of British military history. Calling this hall 'King Hamad Hall' ain't gonna do that." Sandhurst gave a written response to the criticism. "All donations to Sandhurst are in compliance with the UK's domestic and international legal obligations and our values as a nation. Over the years donations like this have saved the UK taxpayer a considerable amount of money." But what happens when Sandhurst's friends become enemies? In 2001, then-prime minister Tony Blair visited Damascus, marking a warming of relations between the UK and Syria. Shortly after, in 2003, Sandhurst was training officers from the Syrian armed forces. Now, of course, Syria is an international pariah. Journalist Michael Cockerell has written about Libyan dictator Colonel Gaddafi's time at the Army School of Education in Beaconsfield in 1966: "Three years [later], Gaddafi followed a tradition of foreign officers trained by the British Army. He made use of his newfound knowledge to seize political power in his own country." Ahmed Ali Sandhurst-trained Ahmed Ali was a key player in the Egyptian military's removal of Islamist President Mohammed Morsi That tradition persists. In the 1990s Egyptian colonel Ahmed Ali attended Sandhurst. In 2013 he was one of the key figures in the Egyptian military's removal of Islamist President Mohammed Morsi, now rewarded by a post in President Sisi's inner circle of advisers. In the late 1990s there were moves by the British government under Tony Blair to end Sandhurst's training of overseas cadets. Major-General Arthur Denaro, Middle East adviser to the defence secretary and commandant at Sandhurst in the late 1990s, describes the idea as part of the "ethical foreign policy" advocated by the late Robin Cook, then-foreign secretary. Tony Blair and Robin Cook Tony Blair and Robin Cook at one point planned to end Sandhurst's training of overseas cadets The funeral of King Hussein in 1999 appears to have scuppered the plan. "Coming to that funeral were the heads of state of almost every country in the world - and our prime minister was there, Tony Blair," says Major-General Denaro. "He happened to see me talking to heads of state - the Sultan of Brunei, the Sultan of Oman, the Bahrainis, the Saudis - and he said 'How do you know all these guys?' The answer was because they went to Sandhurst." Today, Sandhurst has reportedly trained more officer cadets from the UAE than from any other country bar the UK. The May 2014 intake included 72 overseas cadets, around 40% of whom were from the Middle East. "In the future," says Maryam al-Khawaja, acting president of the Bahrain Centre for Human Rights, "people will look back at how much Britain messed up in the [Middle East] because they wanted to sell more Typhoon jets to Bahrain, rather than stand behind the values of human rights and democracy." "It's one thing saying we're inculcating benign values, but that's not happening," says Habiba Hamid. Sandhurst is "a relic of the colonial past. They're not [teaching] the civic values we ought to find in democratically elected leaders." line Who else went to Sandhurst? Princes William and Harry, Winston Churchill, Ian Fleming, Katie Hopkins, Antony Beevor, James Blunt, Josh Lewsey, Devon Harris (From left to right) Princes William and Harry Sir Winston Churchill Ian Fleming, creator of James Bond (but did not complete training) Katie Hopkins, reality TV star Antony Beevor, historian James Blunt, singer-songwriter Josh Lewsey, World Cup-winning England rugby player Devon Harris, member of Jamaica's first bobsleigh team line Sandhurst says that "building international relations through military exchanges and education is a key pillar of the UK's international engagement strategy". Sandhurst may be marvellous for the UK, a country where the army is subservient to government, but it is also delivering militarily-trained officers to Middle Eastern monarchies where, often, armies seem to exist to defend not the nation but the ruling family.

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